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내달 7일부터 열리는 한미 양국 연합 훈련에서는 평양의 지휘부 타격에 그치지 않고 북한의 최후방 지역까지 수복하는 시나리오가 적용될 것으로 알려졌다.
군 소식통에 따르면, 키리졸브 훈련은 통상적으로 평양의 지휘부 타격을 최우선 목표로 맞춰서 진행해왔다. 그러나 이번 훈련은 개전 초기뿐 아니라 미사일 기지를 포함한 북한 후방의 주요 시설까지 수복하는 작전이 포함될 예정이다.
북한의 남침을 가정해 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션으로 진행되는 키리졸브에는 여러 단계가 있으나, 그 단계가 총 몇 개인지 작전명은 알려지지 않다. 크게는 개전 초기, 평양 지도부를 중심으로 군사작전 수행, 후방지역을 수복 등이 있으며 이번 훈련에서는 중간 부분을 뛰어넘고 후미 단계로 가는 것이라고 군 소식통은 설명했다.
군 소식통에 따르면, 키리졸브 훈련은 통상적으로 평양의 지휘부 타격을 최우선 목표로 맞춰서 진행해왔다. 그러나 이번 훈련은 개전 초기뿐 아니라 미사일 기지를 포함한 북한 후방의 주요 시설까지 수복하는 작전이 포함될 예정이다.
북한의 남침을 가정해 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션으로 진행되는 키리졸브에는 여러 단계가 있으나, 그 단계가 총 몇 개인지 작전명은 알려지지 않다. 크게는 개전 초기, 평양 지도부를 중심으로 군사작전 수행, 후방지역을 수복 등이 있으며 이번 훈련에서는 중간 부분을 뛰어넘고 후미 단계로 가는 것이라고 군 소식통은 설명했다.
그러나 이 같은 계획은 이미 작년에 확정된 것이므로, 지난달 북한의 4차 핵실험과 이번 달 초장거리 미사일 발사 이후 남북 간의 긴장감이 고조된 것과 직접적인 관련은 없다.
군 소식통은 “일반적으로도, 군사적으로도 가장 중요하게 생각되는 것에는 김정은 지휘부가 있고, 그다음이 대량 살상무기(WMD)가 있다. 이런 것들이 작동을 못 하게 하고, 다른 세력들이 이용을 못 하게 저지하는 것”이라고 설명했다. 그는 이러한 시설들이 북한 내륙 지역에 밀집되어 있기 때문에 이러한 작전을 수행하는 것이라고 덧붙였다.
실제로 영변 핵시설은 평양에서 북쪽으로 103km 떨어진 평안북도 영변 군에 있다.
군 소식통은 또한 이 과정에서 중국, 러시아와의 접경 지역에 병력이 투입될 것이고 중국, 러시아 등이 개입하지 않도록 하는 역할을 하지만, 물리적인 충돌은 없을 것이라고 강조했다.
한편, 계속된 북한의 도발과 관련해 한미 동맹은 대북 압박 수위를 높여왔다. 박근혜 대통령은 16일 북한의 체제 붕괴를 언급하며 강경한 태도를 확인했으며, 미국은 F-22 스텔스 전투기 등 전략자산을 한반도에 대거 전개하였다.
한민구 국방부 장관은 이날 국회에서 열린 당정협의회에서 우리 군은 예년의 1.5배 수준인 29만 명이, 미군은 예년의 2배 정도인 1만 5,000명 정도가 참여한다고 밝혔다.
코리아헤럴드 윤민식 기자 (minsikyoon@heraldcorp.com)
<관련 영문 기사>
Drills to map out endgame scenario for Pyongyang
Next month’s joint military drills by South Korea and the United States will simulate an endgame scenario for North Korea that has the military recover the entire territory of the peninsula after the collapse of the Kim Jong-un regime, a military official said Thursday.
The relatively rare simulation -- military operations are usually focused on hitting the North Korean leadership in Pyongyang -- coincided with Defense Minister Han Min-koo saying that the annual war games would be “the biggest yet,” in line with President Park Geun-hye’s hard-line policy toward North Korea.
Seoul and Washington are slated to carry out annual Key Resolve and Eagle Foal drills from March 7 to April 30. Key Resolve, a computer-simulation exercise, is conducted for two weeks.
According to the official speaking on anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter, the war game is a multiple-stage drill that simulates war breaking out, military operations surrounding the North Korean capital of Pyongyang and operations that take place in the later stages of the war.
“This year’s operations will involve recovering key facilities that are located deep within North Korea, all the way near its northern borders,” the official said. This means that the war game scenarios will simulate the military taking over the entire peninsula, beyond the North Korean capital.
The Koreas -- technically still at war, as the 1950-53 Korean War was ended by an armistice, not a treaty -- have been baring teeth at each other since Pyongyang’s recent nuclear testing and rocket launch.
But the official said that the scenario was not affected in any way by recent North Korea provocations, stressing that it was already agreed upon last year. He added that Key Resolve had been conducted under the same scenario before.
He explained that the biggest elements of North Korean threat are its leadership under Kim Jong-un and its weapons of mass destruction, which means it is important to neutralize related facilities north of Pyongyang.
The North’s main nuclear complex is located in Yongbyon, in the northwest corner of the country.
“The scenario will include the special operations forces being deployed to border areas adjacent to China and Russia,” the official explained. The troops will attempt to keep the Chinese and Russian military in check, while trying to avoid altercations, he said.
In light of the standoff with the North, President Park on Tuesday said that the North must realize that its nuclear programs will lead to its downfall.
Washington, on its part, showed off strength and its alliance with Seoul by deploying its strategic assets here, including F-22 Raptor stealth jets.
Military officials have stated that this year’s drills will be “a strong warning to the Kim Jong-un regime,” which will show that the allies have the capacity to neutralize North Korean threats.
According to Defense Minister Han, 290,000 of South Korean military personnel will take part, which is about 1.5 times more than usual. Around 15,000 soldiers from the U.S., including the Combat Aviation Brigade and Marine Expeditionary Brigade, will participate, which is also double the annual average.
This year’s drills will also include the new Operation Plan 5015, which reportedly encompasses plans for preemptive strikes against key facilities in North Korea, such as missile launch sites. It is the first time OPLAN 5015 is being applied in the annual drills since formally being approved last year.
The allies will also enhance surveillance against potential provocations from Pyongyang during the drills.
By Yoon Min-sik (minsikyoon@heraldcorp.com)
Drills to map out endgame scenario for Pyongyang
Next month’s joint military drills by South Korea and the United States will simulate an endgame scenario for North Korea that has the military recover the entire territory of the peninsula after the collapse of the Kim Jong-un regime, a military official said Thursday.
The relatively rare simulation -- military operations are usually focused on hitting the North Korean leadership in Pyongyang -- coincided with Defense Minister Han Min-koo saying that the annual war games would be “the biggest yet,” in line with President Park Geun-hye’s hard-line policy toward North Korea.
Seoul and Washington are slated to carry out annual Key Resolve and Eagle Foal drills from March 7 to April 30. Key Resolve, a computer-simulation exercise, is conducted for two weeks.
According to the official speaking on anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter, the war game is a multiple-stage drill that simulates war breaking out, military operations surrounding the North Korean capital of Pyongyang and operations that take place in the later stages of the war.
“This year’s operations will involve recovering key facilities that are located deep within North Korea, all the way near its northern borders,” the official said. This means that the war game scenarios will simulate the military taking over the entire peninsula, beyond the North Korean capital.
The Koreas -- technically still at war, as the 1950-53 Korean War was ended by an armistice, not a treaty -- have been baring teeth at each other since Pyongyang’s recent nuclear testing and rocket launch.
But the official said that the scenario was not affected in any way by recent North Korea provocations, stressing that it was already agreed upon last year. He added that Key Resolve had been conducted under the same scenario before.
He explained that the biggest elements of North Korean threat are its leadership under Kim Jong-un and its weapons of mass destruction, which means it is important to neutralize related facilities north of Pyongyang.
The North’s main nuclear complex is located in Yongbyon, in the northwest corner of the country.
“The scenario will include the special operations forces being deployed to border areas adjacent to China and Russia,” the official explained. The troops will attempt to keep the Chinese and Russian military in check, while trying to avoid altercations, he said.
In light of the standoff with the North, President Park on Tuesday said that the North must realize that its nuclear programs will lead to its downfall.
Washington, on its part, showed off strength and its alliance with Seoul by deploying its strategic assets here, including F-22 Raptor stealth jets.
Military officials have stated that this year’s drills will be “a strong warning to the Kim Jong-un regime,” which will show that the allies have the capacity to neutralize North Korean threats.
According to Defense Minister Han, 290,000 of South Korean military personnel will take part, which is about 1.5 times more than usual. Around 15,000 soldiers from the U.S., including the Combat Aviation Brigade and Marine Expeditionary Brigade, will participate, which is also double the annual average.
This year’s drills will also include the new Operation Plan 5015, which reportedly encompasses plans for preemptive strikes against key facilities in North Korea, such as missile launch sites. It is the first time OPLAN 5015 is being applied in the annual drills since formally being approved last year.
The allies will also enhance surveillance against potential provocations from Pyongyang during the drills.
By Yoon Min-sik (minsikyoon@heraldcorp.com)
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